Uzbekistan

Most analysis (like here or here) trying to set up Uzbekistan as a realist-versus-idealist problem in foreign policy is missing an important point. No matter how the US reacts to the Andijan massacre, Uzbekistan's current government is likely to replace us with the Chinese as an alliance partner. So tolerating their brutal actions makes no sense whatsover.

Here's the full explanation, in my latest TechCentralStation column.