February 11, 2005

Hanson Offers Ten Reasons Why We Need Democracy in the Middle East

Marc Comtois

In our continuing effort to expose Rhode Islanders (and others) to conservative thought, I highly recommend reading Victor Hanson's Why Democracy?:Ten reasons to support democracy in the Middle East. Hanson begins with a helpful summarization of the various views of the predominant foreign policy "schools":

Neoconservatives hope that a democratic Iraq and Afghanistan can usher in a new age of Middle Eastern consensual government that will cool down a century-old cauldron of hatred. Realists counter that democratic roots will surely starve in sterile Middle East soil, and it is a waste of time to play Wilsonian games with a people full of anti-American hatred who display only ingratitude for the huge investment of American lives and treasure spent on their freedom. Paleoconservatives prefer to spend our treasure here at home, while liberals oppose anything that is remotely connected with George W. Bush or refutes their own utopian notions of a world to be adjudicated by a paternal United Nations. All rightly fear demonocracy — the Arafat or Iranian unconstitutional formula of "one vote, one time."
I recommend reading the piece in its entirety, but for those short on time, here's a summary of the answer to a question Hanson poses, "So why exactly should we support the daunting task of democratizing the Middle East and how is it possible?":
1. It is widely said that democracies rarely attack other democracies. Thus the more that exist in the world — and at no time in history have there been more such governments than today — the less likely is war itself. . .

2. More often than not, democracies arise through violence — either by threat of force or after war with all the incumbent detritus of humiliation, impoverishment, and revolution. . .

3. Democracies are more likely to be internally stable, inasmuch as they allow people to take credit and accept blame for their own predicaments. They keep their word, or as Woodrow Wilson once put it, "A steadfast concert for peace can never be maintained except by a partnership of democratic nations. . ."

4. The democratic idea is contagious. We once worried about the negative Communist domino theory, but the real chain reaction has always been the positive explosion of democracy. . .

5. In the case of the Muslim world, there is nothing inherently incompatible between Islam and democracy. Witness millions in India, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Turkey who vote. Such liberal venting may well explain why those who blow up Americans are rarely Indian or Turkish Muslims, but more likely Saudis or Egyptians. The trick is now to show that Arab Muslims can establish democracy, and thus the Palestine and Iraq experiments are critical to the entire region.

6. Democracy brings moral clarity and cures deluded populaces of their false grievances and exaggerated hurts. The problem in the Middle East is the depressing relationship between autocracies and Islamists: Illiberal governments fault the Americans and Jews for their own failure. Thus in lieu of reform, strongmen deflect popular frustration by allowing the Wahhabis, al Qaedists, and other terrorists to use their state-controlled media likewise to blame us rather than a Mubarak, Saudi Royal Family, or Saddam Hussein. . .

7. We fret rightly about the spread of weapons of mass destruction. But the truth is that we worry mainly about nukes in the hands of autocracies like China, Iran, or North Korea. . . We cannot expect a successful democratic Germany or Japan to sit back and watch criminal states like Iran and North Korea go nuclear without expecting them to do the same — thus the need now to support democratic agitation in Tehran and elsewhere.

8. The promotion of democracy abroad by democracy at home is internally consistent and empowers rather than embarrasses a sponsoring consensual society. All sensible Europeans and Americans eventually ask themselves why freedom is fine for us but not for others. . .

9. By promoting democracies, Americans can at last come to a reckoning with the Cold War. If it was wrong then to back a shah or Saudi Royal family ("keep the oil flowing and the Commies out") or to abandon Afghanistan after repelling the Soviets, it is surely right now not to repeat the error of realpolitik. . .

10. Like it or not, a growing consensus has emerged that consumer capitalism and democracy are the only ways to organize society. We are not at the end of history yet — wars and revolutions may well plague us for decades. But if we cannot achieve universal democracy, we can at least get near enough to envision it. . .

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I find the inclusion of India in the Muslim world as another example of the general American's ignorance of the world he seeks to fashion after itself. India has the second largest Muslim population in the world but it is nowhere near to being an Islamist one. Indeed it is a secular, rambunctious democracy, which in just 58 years since Independence has shown a great deal of progress and stability. There have been some warts but that was part of the growing up process. Indeed the example of India is actually an eleventh reason for encouraging the spread of democracy though I disagree with the rationalisation of violence as an acceptable means to that end. Shifts in political culture are evolutionary, not revolutionary. They require time, not switches.

Posted by: Kunal Mukherjee at August 24, 2005 10:42 AM

I think you miss Hanson's point. He isn't saying India is an Islamist state, but pointing out that a large portion of the population in India is Muslim (ie; part of the "Muslim world") and they participate in the government of a Democratic Nation: India. Far from showing "general American ignorance," Hanson is pointing to India as one example of how Islam and Democracy are not inherently opposed. He furthers his point by noting that no terrorists come from India, which, as you say, has the second largest Muslim population in the world. He is complementing India, not criticizing it!

Posted by: Marc Comtois at August 24, 2005 10:54 AM